Superior Returns

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
2010										(6.4%)	+11.0%	+6.8%
2011	+13.0%	+17.2%	+5.5%	+1.2%	+27.6%	(20.1%)	+23.2%	+16.1%	(25%)	(0.3%)	(11.2%)	(30.7%)
2012	(4.4%)	+30.4%	(118.2%)	(383%)	(0.4%)	(3.9%)	(1.6%)	(0.4%)	(0.4%)	(0.4%)	(0.4%)	(0.4%)
2013	(0.4%)	(0.4%)	(0.4%)	(0.4%)	(0.4%)	(0.4%)

There is a substantial risk of loss when trading futures, forex, stocks, or options. Hide this

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Show chart: Standard | Monte Carlo
Technical Analysis: Moving Average daysX

Instruments

Mostly Stocks; (some futures, options)

Strategies

Technical analysis, Market timing, Unclassified

System started

10/14/2010 (33 months ago)

System developer

Michael

(Last login to C2: 5/19/12 22:54)
C2 Score: 940

Vendor has created 3 other systems. Show
The name of this system has been changed 2 times. Show

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Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ET	B/S	#	Symbol		Price	Closed	Price	Risk	P/L
3/19/12 14:22	BUY	1,000	EXM1216F3	EXM Jun12 3 call (exp 06/16/2012)	0.15	6/17 9:01	0.00	Extreme	($15,950)
4/24/12 14:18	BUY	12	AAPL1227D600	AAPL Apr12 600 call (exp 04/27/2012)	4.00	4/25 9:32	14.85	High	$12,997
4/16/12 10:53	BUY	120	UVXY1219E27	UVXY May12 27 call (exp 05/19/2012)	1.78	4/23 15:31	0.75	Extreme	($12,528)
4/2/12 11:25	BUY	200	ENB1219E40	ENB May12 40 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.70	4/16 12:21	0.27	Extreme	($8,880)
4/12/12 15:28	BUY	60	ROST1219E60	ROST May12 60 call (exp 05/19/2012)	1.50	4/16 10:48	1.20	High	($1,914)
4/12/12 15:27	BUY	20	DLTR1219E95	DLTR May12 95 call (exp 05/19/2012)	3.65	4/16 10:46	3.10	Normal	($1,138)
4/9/12 12:51	BUY	100	MCD1219E100	MCD May12 100 call (exp 05/19/2012)	1.50	4/12 15:38	0.97	Extreme	($5,440)
4/2/12 11:36	BUY	200	EWC1219E30	EWC May12 30 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.20	4/12 15:28	0.15	Normal	($1,380)
4/2/12 12:04	BUY	200	RAI1219E42	RAI May12 42 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.82	4/9 14:18	0.65	Very	($3,680)
4/2/12 11:27	BUY	200	DRYS1219E4	DRYS May12 4 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.18	4/5 14:52	0.07	Normal	($2,520)
4/2/12 14:33	BUY	100	BZH1219E3.5	BZH May12 3.50 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.25	4/5 14:51	0.10	Normal	($1,690)
4/2/12 12:07	BUY	70	TDW1219E60	TDW May12 60 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.50	4/5 14:51	0.15	Normal	($2,583)
4/2/12 11:48	BUY	100	FRO1219E9	FRO May12 9 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.50	4/5 14:51	0.20	High	($3,190)
4/2/12 11:38	BUY	200	PHM1219E10	PHM May12 10 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.23	4/5 14:46	0.11	Normal	($2,680)
4/2/12 11:26	BUY	100	DHI1219E15	DHI May12 15 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.88	4/5 14:45	0.37	Very	($5,260)

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ET	B/S	#	Symbol		Price	Closed	Close Price	Risk	P/L
3/19/12 14:22	BUY	1,000	EXM1216F3	EXM Jun12 3 call (exp 06/16/2012)	0.15	6/17 9:01	0.00	Extreme	($15,950)
3/19/12 14:22	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:23	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:23	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:23	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:23	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:24	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:24	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:24	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:24	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:25	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:25	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:25	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:26	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:26	BTO	70	EXM1216F3		0.15
3/19/12 14:26	BTO	20	EXM1216F3		0.15
6/17/12 9:01	exp	1,000	EXM1216F3		0.00
4/24/12 14:18	BUY	12	AAPL1227D600	AAPL Apr12 600 call (exp 04/27/2012)	4.00	4/25 9:32	14.85	High	$12,997
4/24/12 14:18	BTO	12	AAPL1227D600		4.00
4/25/12 9:32	STC	12	AAPL1227D600		14.85
4/16/12 10:53	BUY	120	UVXY1219E27	UVXY May12 27 call (exp 05/19/2012)	1.78	4/23 15:31	0.75	Extreme	($12,528)
4/16/12 10:53	BTO	40	UVXY1219E27		1.95
4/16/12 11:40	BTO	20	UVXY1219E27		2.10
4/16/12 12:22	BTO	20	UVXY1219E27		2.15
4/18/12 9:36	BTO	40	UVXY1219E27		1.25
4/23/12 15:18	STC	30	UVXY1219E27		0.75
4/23/12 15:31	STC	90	UVXY1219E27		0.75
4/2/12 11:25	BUY	200	ENB1219E40	ENB May12 40 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.70	4/16 12:21	0.27	Extreme	($8,880)
4/2/12 11:25	BTO	50	ENB1219E40		0.60
4/2/12 11:25	BTO	50	ENB1219E40		0.60
4/9/12 14:19	BTO	50	ENB1219E40		0.80
4/9/12 14:20	BTO	50	ENB1219E40		0.80
4/16/12 11:39	STC	100	ENB1219E40		0.20
4/16/12 12:21	STC	100	ENB1219E40		0.35
4/12/12 15:28	BUY	60	ROST1219E60	ROST May12 60 call (exp 05/19/2012)	1.50	4/16 10:48	1.20	High	($1,914)
4/12/12 15:28	BTO	10	ROST1219E60		1.50
4/12/12 15:29	BTO	20	ROST1219E60		1.50
4/12/12 15:39	BTO	30	ROST1219E60		1.50
4/16/12 10:48	STC	60	ROST1219E60		1.20
4/12/12 15:27	BUY	20	DLTR1219E95	DLTR May12 95 call (exp 05/19/2012)	3.65	4/16 10:46	3.10	Normal	($1,138)
4/12/12 15:27	BTO	10	DLTR1219E95		3.70
4/12/12 15:40	BTO	10	DLTR1219E95		3.60
4/16/12 10:46	STC	20	DLTR1219E95		3.10
4/9/12 12:51	BUY	100	MCD1219E100	MCD May12 100 call (exp 05/19/2012)	1.50	4/12 15:38	0.97	Extreme	($5,440)
4/9/12 12:51	BTO	50	MCD1219E100		1.45
4/9/12 14:18	BTO	50	MCD1219E100		1.54
4/12/12 15:38	STC	100	MCD1219E100		0.97
4/2/12 11:36	BUY	200	EWC1219E30	EWC May12 30 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.20	4/12 15:28	0.15	Normal	($1,380)
4/2/12 11:36	BTO	50	EWC1219E30		0.20
4/2/12 11:37	BTO	50	EWC1219E30		0.20
4/2/12 11:37	BTO	50	EWC1219E30		0.20
4/2/12 11:37	BTO	50	EWC1219E30		0.20
4/12/12 15:28	STC	200	EWC1219E30		0.15
4/2/12 12:04	BUY	200	RAI1219E42	RAI May12 42 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.82	4/9 14:18	0.65	Very	($3,680)
4/2/12 12:04	BTO	70	RAI1219E42		0.80
4/2/12 12:05	BTO	70	RAI1219E42		0.80
4/2/12 12:07	BTO	60	RAI1219E42		0.85
4/9/12 14:18	STC	200	RAI1219E42		0.65
4/2/12 11:27	BUY	200	DRYS1219E4	DRYS May12 4 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.18	4/5 14:52	0.07	Normal	($2,520)
4/2/12 11:27	BTO	70	DRYS1219E4		0.18
4/2/12 11:28	BTO	70	DRYS1219E4		0.18
4/2/12 11:50	BTO	60	DRYS1219E4		0.17
4/5/12 14:52	STC	200	DRYS1219E4		0.07
4/2/12 14:33	BUY	100	BZH1219E3.5	BZH May12 3.50 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.25	4/5 14:51	0.10	Normal	($1,690)
4/2/12 14:33	BTO	50	BZH1219E3.5		0.25
4/2/12 14:35	BTO	50	BZH1219E3.5		0.25
4/5/12 14:51	STC	100	BZH1219E3.5		0.10
4/2/12 12:07	BUY	70	TDW1219E60	TDW May12 60 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.50	4/5 14:51	0.15	Normal	($2,583)
4/2/12 12:07	BTO	70	TDW1219E60		0.50
4/5/12 14:51	STC	70	TDW1219E60		0.15
4/2/12 11:48	BUY	100	FRO1219E9	FRO May12 9 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.50	4/5 14:51	0.20	High	($3,190)
4/2/12 11:48	BTO	50	FRO1219E9		0.50
4/2/12 11:49	BTO	50	FRO1219E9		0.50
4/5/12 14:51	STC	100	FRO1219E9		0.20
4/2/12 11:38	BUY	200	PHM1219E10	PHM May12 10 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.23	4/5 14:46	0.11	Normal	($2,680)
4/2/12 11:38	BTO	50	PHM1219E10		0.23
4/2/12 11:38	BTO	50	PHM1219E10		0.23
4/2/12 11:39	BTO	50	PHM1219E10		0.22
4/2/12 11:40	BTO	50	PHM1219E10		0.22
4/5/12 14:46	STC	200	PHM1219E10		0.11
4/2/12 11:26	BUY	100	DHI1219E15	DHI May12 15 call (exp 05/19/2012)	0.88	4/5 14:45	0.37	Very	($5,260)
4/2/12 11:26	BTO	70	DHI1219E15		0.88
4/2/12 11:40	BTO	30	DHI1219E15		0.87
4/5/12 14:45	STC	100	DHI1219E15		0.37

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Statistics

Analytics

All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades	2,880
# Profitable	1,206 (41.9%)
# months tracked	33
Profitable months	10 (30.3%)
Avg trade duration	13.0 hours
Annual Return	-68.3%
Average win	$1,489
Average loss	$1,118
Profit factor	1.0:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)	96.18%
drawdown period	Aug 25, 2011 to April 24, 2012
Correlation w/ S&P	0.040
Sharpe ratio	-0.933
Keep after worst-case slippage	100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss
Chance of 10% account loss	100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss	100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss	100.0%

Chance of 50% account loss	1.0%
Chance of 100% account loss	0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)	-0.08
Average P/L per unit traded	$2.49
Sum of dividends and cash expir. in model account	$488

Reviews

See All

Sept 15, 2011 from Subscriber

i think the trader has lot of experience and the system will bring high returns. you just need the stomach to survive the drawdowns.

June 17, 2011 from AutoTrader

Yet another high-flying C2 system bites the dust. This used to be a nice, steady system -- just look at the equity curve -- but now with a 35 percent max drawdown, in a matter of just a few days, its suitable only for gunslingers. Caveat Emptor!

June 15, 2011 from AutoTrader

Hubris! After a winning streak vendor apparently thought he had discovered the wholy grail of trading and continued with leaving large risky positions overnight and followed up with a flurry of trading which looked more like revenge trading. What a shame that he lost his discipline with a system that started out so promising.

June 13, 2011 from AutoTrader

Went live in late May right before things went south, and am now down a lot of money. Sadly the system has been a big disappointment. Seems to regularly increase positions in losing trades only to exit them soon afterwards at an even larger loss, and not infrequently allow winners to turn into losers. Its not the only system to suffer in the current directionless market, but rather than back off, the system publisher is continuing to trade at a similar rate of 50-80 market orders per day.

June 13, 2011 from AutoTrader

Extremely poor system developer keeps on averaging down losing positions and does not exit winning positions until all profits are lost. To sum up the goal of the strategy is to not win.

May 26, 2011 from AutoTrader

I have subscribed to this system and it is one of the best systems on C2. The return in May alone is second to none! The trader's methodology is very unique and lends itself to excellent returns. Of course, it has it's "ups" and "downs", but the "ups" far outweigh the "downs" and you'd be missing out on some excellent investing if you didn't take a serious look at this system!

Dividends Itemized
Started	$100,000
Buy Power	$24,720
Cash	$24,720
Equity	$0
Cumulative $*	($75,280)
Total System Equity	$24,720
Margined	$0
Open P/L	$0

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